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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 800 | $0.820 | $656 | Feb 21, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.1K |
| $0.110 |
| $121 |
| Dec 31, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 422.7 | $0.826 | $349.15 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.041 | $61.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.840 | $167.99 | Dec 30, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.17 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 300 | $0.410 | $123 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.840 | $126 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.863 | $172.59 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 195.99 | $0.997 | $195.4 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Starmer out in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $198.92 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $199.06 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?No | sell | 114.08 | $0.993 | $113.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.120 | $132 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 113 | $0.510 | $57.63 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.080 | $8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 861.73 | $0.830 | $715.24 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No | sell | 275.06 | $0.953 | $262.27 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?No | sell | 81.83 | $0.894 | $73.16 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 150 | $0.550 | $82.5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.056 | $78.36 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.075 | $97.35 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 299.94 | $0.310 | $92.98 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.972 | $291.71 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 99.97 | $0.630 | $62.98 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 164.85 | $0.330 | $54.4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 49.98 | $0.810 | $40.48 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 61.61 | $0.013 | $0.8 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.991 | $4.97 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.080 | $3.21 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.002 | $0.6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in 2025?No | sell | 515.75 | $0.990 | $510.6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 452.77 | $0.832 | $376.69 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 300 | $0.470 | $141 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.200 | $160 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 174.77 | $0.210 | $36.7 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.045 | $35.68 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.054 | $48.54 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.280 | $980 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?No | sell | 88.75 | $0.953 | $84.58 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 86% and 88%?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.020 | $21.24 | Dec 14, 2025 |