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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Aug 12, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.07 |
| $0.987 |
| $1.06 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.989 | $2.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.991 | $1.22 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.951 | $2.24 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.830 | $4.21 | May 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on April 3?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Apr 2, 2026 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.900 | $2.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.900 | $4.3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8PM ETUp | buy | 17 | $0.998 | $16.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8PM ETUp | buy | 137.87 | $0.997 | $137.46 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ETDown | buy | 340 | $0.002 | $0.68 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2AM ETUp | buy | 80.42 | $0.003 | $0.24 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11PM ETDown | buy | 227.62 | $0.002 | $0.46 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11PM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9PM ETDown | buy | 25.83 | $0.880 | $22.73 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8PM ETDown | buy | 199.77 | $0.050 | $9.99 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 133.35 | $0.997 | $132.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 99.67 | $0.090 | $8.96 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.669 | $1.2 | Feb 9, 2026 |