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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Giorgio Armani be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Henry Cavill be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.07 |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 29.62 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.302 | $0.3 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | sell | 3.47 | $0.933 | $3.24 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $480b and $490b on October 31?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 209.97 | $0.004 | $0.84 | Oct 21, 2025 |
SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.036 | $1.08 | Oct 21, 2025 |
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.304 | $1.52 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?Yes | sell | 97.59 | $0.013 | $1.25 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10.47 | $0.340 | $3.56 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.663 | $3.97 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on October 31?Yes | sell | 47.26 | $0.008 | $0.38 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.33 | $0.070 | $4.36 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.99 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.860 | $5.16 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.965 | $5.79 | Oct 21, 2025 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.624 | $6.24 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.967 | $17.41 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.967 | $20.31 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.996 | $20.92 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | sell | 28 | $0.987 | $27.64 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.925 | $5.55 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.989 | $7.91 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.833 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.444 | $2.66 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.253 | $2.53 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.943 | $9.43 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.010 | $5.56 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.140 | $8.75 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Oct 19, 2025 |