Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31? | No | 1.43 | $0.982 | $1.38 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.982 | $1.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.34 |
| $0.975 |
| $1.31 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.987 | $1.33 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.989 | $1.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.993 | $1.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.989 | $1.41 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.982 | $1.41 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 5?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.992 | $1.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.984 | $1.38 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.989 | $1.37 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.985 | $1.37 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.988 | $1.37 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.991 | $1.38 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.989 | $1.38 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.988 | $1.39 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.998 | $1.38 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Henri-Marie Dondra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.987 | $1.36 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 1 above $530?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.990 | $1.35 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.991 | $1.35 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.993 | $1.36 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.987 | $1.36 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.985 | $1.36 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.984 | $1.36 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.972 | $1.35 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Obama endorse Mamdani?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.988 | $1.34 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.981 | $1.33 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.995 | $1.36 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.992 | $1.35 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Another NATO article 4 by October 15?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.990 | $1.34 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.998 | $1.34 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.917 | $5.11 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.945 | $7.78 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.995 | $3.76 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Trump in jail before inauguration?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.994 | $3.39 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.990 | $2.04 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.998 | $3.64 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.998 | $2.94 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 39.79K | $0.001 | $39.79 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?Yes | sell | 19.7K | $0.001 | $19.7 | Dec 15, 2024 |