Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 320.43 | $0.842 | $267.56 | -$2.4 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.93 | $0.280 | $3.9 | 18d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 43.05 |
| $0.827 |
| $36.45 |
| +$0.84 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 32.92 | $0.910 | $30.45 | +$0.49 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 30.6 | $0.850 | $26.16 | +$0.15 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 29.27 | $0.820 | $24.29 | +$0.29 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.13 | $0.830 | $23.5 | +$2.64 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 27.24 | $0.824 | $22.82 | +$0.37 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 14.14 | $0.920 | $13.29 | +$0.28 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 57.86 | $0.370 | $11.86 | -$9.55 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 13.63 | $0.560 | $8.72 | +$1.09 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.15 | $0.130 | $4.85 | -$1.15 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 36.93 | $0.140 | $4.62 | -$0.55 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 14.81 | $0.270 | $3.48 | -$0.52 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 13.93 | $0.280 | $2.58 | -$1.32 |
| buy |
| 14.81 |
| $0.270 |
| $4 |
| 18d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 36.93 | $0.140 | $5.17 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.560 | $7.63 | 18d ago |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.130 | $6 | 18d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 29.27 | $0.820 | $24 | 18d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.857 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.86 | $0.370 | $21.41 | 18d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.05 | $0.827 | $35.6 | 18d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 30.59 | $0.850 | $26 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 164.29 | $0.840 | $138 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 27.09 | $0.991 | $26.85 | 26d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.046 | $23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.810 | $4.27 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.35 | $0.190 | $4.06 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.35 | $0.200 | $4.27 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.040 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 23.35 | $0.777 | $18.14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 27.57 | $0.880 | $24.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 26.07 | $0.850 | $22.16 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | sell | 27.57 | $0.850 | $23.43 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 30.78 | $0.770 | $23.7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 27.08 | $0.790 | $21.39 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 32.05 | $0.767 | $24.58 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | sell | 34.27 | $0.815 | $27.93 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.830 | $20.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 27.58 | $0.880 | $24.27 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 26.08 | $0.800 | $20.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.09 | $0.770 | $20.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 31.83 | $0.870 | $27.69 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | buy | 27.58 | $0.880 | $24.27 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 32.92 | $0.910 | $29.96 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 30.79 | $0.850 | $26.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 27.09 | $0.700 | $18.96 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 32.06 | $0.828 | $26.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 38.92 | $0.799 | $31.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | buy | 34.28 | $0.830 | $28.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 39.64 | $0.489 | $19.38 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 39.37 | $0.602 | $23.69 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 719.93 | $0.069 | $50 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?Yes | sell | 36.58 | $0.790 | $28.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes | buy | 6.29 | $0.159 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No | buy | 11.56 | $0.865 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.425 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.580 | $3.22 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 30.96 | $0.323 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |