Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 30.19 | $0.994 | $29.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.998 | $27 | 16d ago |
|
| No |
| 27.05 |
| $0.998 |
| $27.01 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 19.26 | $0.997 | $19.25 | +$0.05 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 30.19 |
| $0.994 |
| $30 |
| 16d ago |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?No | buy | 35.04 | $0.999 | $35 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?No | buy | 35.14 | $0.996 | $35 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?No | buy | 35.07 | $0.998 | $35 | 16d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.27 | $0.991 | $30 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.995 | $40 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 40.26 | $0.994 | $40 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.14 | $0.995 | $30 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 30.55 | $0.982 | $30 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.989 | $20.52 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.3 | $0.994 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 19.26 | $0.997 | $19.2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.988 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in March?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?No | buy | 30.17 | $0.994 | $29.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 28.21 | $0.996 | $28.1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 60.18 | $0.997 | $60 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 17.13 | $0.986 | $16.89 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.995 | $40 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the JA21 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 65.39 | $0.994 | $65 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 65.26 | $0.996 | $65 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 226.89 | $0.997 | $226.21 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 153.31 | $0.988 | $151.43 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?Yes | buy | 30.84 | $0.973 | $30 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 26.37 | $0.948 | $25 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 579.92 | $0.337 | $195.43 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 579.92 | $0.338 | $196.01 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 296.09 | $0.662 | $196.01 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 296.09 | $0.663 | $196.31 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Solana above $155 on October 4?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Oct 3, 2024 |