Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.73 | +$0.73 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.986 | $5.92 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.95 |
| $0.840 |
| $5.51 |
| +$0.51 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 25.49 | $0.510 | $4.46 | -$8.54 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.909 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | $0.460 | $1.09 | -$2.91 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.82 | -$1.18 |
| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.170 |
| $1 |
| May 24, 2026 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance today?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.05 | $0.650 | $8.48 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.995 | $16.52 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.039 | $6 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.99 | $0.700 | $4.89 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.909 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 1.39 | $0.719 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.989 | $10.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 26?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 7.15 | $0.979 | $7 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.041 | $0.85 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 24 | $0.500 | $12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.720 | $5.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.966 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 13.01 | $0.930 | $12.1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 19.06 | $0.525 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.868 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.821 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 11.73 | $0.938 | $11 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.977 | $11 | Nov 11, 2025 |