Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Trump | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.060 |
| $3 |
| Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will the Debate finish by 10:30 PM?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Who will gain more in polls after the debate?Kamala | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Kamala x Trump debate most viewed ever?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.238 | $5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 50.86 | $0.070 | $3.56 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?Trump | buy | 3.59 | $0.870 | $3.12 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.030 | $0.03 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?No | buy | 25.77 | $0.970 | $25 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?Yes | buy | 26.89 | $0.950 | $25.55 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "cemetery" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris give an interview before Sept 10?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will the Harris/Walz interview be between 45 and 60 mins in length?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will the Harris/Walz interview be between 45 and 60 mins in length?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during CNN interview?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "border" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?Yes | buy | 22.76 | $0.659 | $15 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "inflation" 3 or more times during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 25.2 | $0.992 | $25 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.983 | $4.98 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.979 | $4.98 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Trump posts 40 or more times on X?Yes | buy | 79.57 | $0.230 | $18.3 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | buy | 59.24 | $0.996 | $59 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?No | buy | 20.34 | $0.590 | $12 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | buy | 25.9 | $0.610 | $15.8 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.205 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Trump posts 40 or more times on X?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.285 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | buy | 86.45 | $0.062 | $5.36 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Trump mentioned fewer than 50 times at the DNC today?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Trump mentioned fewer than 50 times at the DNC today?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Trump mentioned between 50-74 times at the DNC today?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.002 | $1.02 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Harris | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |