Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 51.96 | $0.087 | $4.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.57 |
| $0.420 |
| $1.5 |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.48 | $0.760 | $2.64 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.055 | $0.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.658 | $1.34 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | sell | 3.45 | $0.110 | $0.38 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.790 | $1.25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.390 | $1.36 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.820 | $1.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.310 | $0.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 1.43 | $0.699 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.690 | $2.37 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.73 | $0.080 | $0.54 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.67 | $0.520 | $0.87 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?Yes | sell | 109.09 | $0.016 | $1.69 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.12 | $0.033 | $0.43 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.823 | $1.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.456 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | sell | 3.98 | $0.511 | $2.03 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.220 | $0.65 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.840 | $1.13 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-InDRX | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.740 | $1.29 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.961 | $1.07 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.57 | $0.006 | $0.11 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.670 | $3.12 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.310 | $1.07 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 24.99 | $0.340 | $8.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 2.51 | $0.962 | $2.41 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicDjokovic | sell | 9.25 | $0.130 | $1.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.370 | $2.3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.796 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | sell | 88.63 | $0.010 | $0.89 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 9.26 | $0.270 | $2.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |