Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 321.66 | $0.942 | $314.1 | +$11.1 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.963 | $110.69 | Jul 2, 2026 |
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| No |
| 326.62 |
| $0.928 |
| $312.08 |
| +$9.08 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 108.51 | $0.940 | $105.2 | +$3.2 |
| sell |
| 113.97 |
| $0.999 |
| $113.86 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 619.59 | $0.976 | $604.72 | May 5, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 319.28 | $0.975 | $311.3 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 619.59 | $0.962 | $596.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 319.28 | $0.949 | $303 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 326.62 | $0.928 | $303 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 321.66 | $0.942 | $303 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 109.78 | $0.920 | $101 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.99 | $0.944 | $101 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 110.99 | $0.910 | $101 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 117.44 | $0.860 | $101 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 101.3 | $0.997 | $101 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.49 | $0.985 | $101 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?No | buy | 105.1 | $0.961 | $101 | Jan 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 108.6 | $0.930 | $101 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 104.29 | $0.978 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?No | buy | 119.17 | $0.856 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.25 | $0.960 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | buy | 107.36 | $0.950 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 108.51 | $0.940 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 104.08 | $0.980 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 103.55 | $0.985 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 107.59 | $0.948 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 130.77 | $0.780 | $102 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 113.98 | $0.895 | $102 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No | buy | 102.75 | $0.993 | $102 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 104.4 | $0.977 | $102 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 124.69 | $0.810 | $101 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 326.58 | $0.770 | $251.47 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?No | sell | 138.81 | $0.873 | $121.11 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 138.35 | $0.941 | $130.19 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 106.66 | $0.950 | $101.33 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | sell | 103.71 | $0.978 | $101.4 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Bezos divorce in 2025?No | buy | 64.26 | $0.988 | $63.48 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?No | buy | 103.82 | $0.973 | $101 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 103.27 | $0.978 | $101 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 102.88 | $0.982 | $101 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 105.21 | $0.960 | $101 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?No | buy | 104.53 | $0.966 | $101 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Pepe ETF in 2025?No | buy | 106.41 | $0.949 | $101 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 104.55 | $0.966 | $101 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 105.1 | $0.961 | $101 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Netanyahu out by 2025?No | buy | 107.45 | $0.940 | $101 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 514.24 | $0.915 | $470.53 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 138.36 | $0.730 | $101 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 101.61 | $0.994 | $101 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?No | buy | 106.32 | $0.950 | $101 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?No | buy | 134.23 | $0.752 | $101 | Oct 24, 2025 |