Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 248.21 | $0.560 | $191.12 | +$52.13 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.093 | $137.48 | 4d ago |
|
| buy |
| 742.86 |
| $0.135 |
| $100 |
| 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 733.14 | $0.136 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 248.21 | $0.560 | $139 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 98.73 | $0.122 | $12 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.870 | $29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | sell | 37.8 | $0.166 | $6.27 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.140 | $17.5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 104 | $0.090 | $9.36 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.090 | $9.36 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | buy | 37.8 | $0.265 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 437.57 | $0.940 | $411.32 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.330 | $44.59 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 218.34 | $0.229 | $50 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 259.09 | $0.386 | $100 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | sell | 332.38 | $0.354 | $117.76 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | buy | 207.38 | $0.482 | $100 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 174.42 | $0.430 | $75 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.290 | $82.86 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.280 | $80 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 123.67 | $0.040 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | sell | 86.95 | $0.060 | $5.22 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 297.77 | $0.973 | $289.85 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will US leave NATO by June 30?No | sell | 461.27 | $0.966 | $445.5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 314.33 | $0.690 | $216.89 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 352.63 | $0.057 | $20 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.238 | $17.82 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 652.17 | $0.389 | $253.62 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will US leave NATO by June 30?No | buy | 461.27 | $0.867 | $400 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 652.17 | $0.460 | $300 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 205.64 | $0.486 | $100 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 68.97 | $0.540 | $37.24 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Feb 26, 2025 |