Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.09K | $0.588 | $972.53 | -$257.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.440 | $44 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 900 |
| $0.890 |
| $724.5 |
| -$76.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.836 | $640.5 | +$55.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.940 | $561 | -$3 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 453.74 | $0.864 | $360.72 | -$31.49 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 344.75 | $0.870 | $308.55 | +$8.62 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 60.7 | $0.860 | $54.93 | +$2.73 |
| sell |
| 700 |
| $0.850 |
| $595 |
| 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.590 | $597.98 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 700 | $0.860 | $602 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 877.94 | $0.610 | $535.54 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 6d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 564.45 | $0.740 | $417.69 | 13d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | 19d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.659 | $263.66 | 19d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.860 | $889.46 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.070 | $21.01 | 19d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | 19d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 253.74 | $0.860 | $218.22 | 19d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.890 | $534 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.7 | $0.860 | $52.2 | 19d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.940 | $564 | 19d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 339.88 | $0.742 | $252.24 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.330 | $98.98 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.830 | $1.16K | 19d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.870 | $1.2K | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.68K | $0.339 | $4.64K | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 330 | $0.730 | $240.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 899.99 | $0.226 | $203.46 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 749.98 | $0.400 | $299.99 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.31K | $0.790 | $2.61K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.790 | $1.58K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.880 | $616 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.875 | $1.75K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 386.55 | $0.840 | $324.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.830 | $199.2 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.790 | $197.5 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.8K | $0.972 | $1.75K | May 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 580 | $0.662 | $383.72 | May 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.780 | $390 | May 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.820 | $4.24 | May 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.820 | $901.5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 631.02 | $0.280 | $176.69 | May 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.925 | $924.64 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 698.91 | $0.800 | $559.13 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 600 | $0.930 | $558 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.808 | $201.9 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.900 | $1.06K | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.280 | $330.31 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.290 | $475.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.920 | $1.08K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.930 | $1.09K | Apr 8, 2026 |