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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 45.28 | $0.782 | $44.73 | +$9.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.635 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 9.62 |
| $0.935 |
| $9.57 |
| +$0.57 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.133 | $9.45 | +$8.12 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.25 | $0.923 | $3.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.3 | +$0.3 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.769 | $1.28 | +$0.27 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | No | 1.57 | $0.635 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.875 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| sell |
| 40.44 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.16 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.550 | $1.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.988 | $1.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.900 | $0.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Yes | sell | 28.91 | $0.022 | $0.64 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.962 | $1.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.020 | $0.05 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.320 | $1.08 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.134 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.29 | $0.387 | $2.82 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.640 | $1.1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.27 | $0.670 | $2.19 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca | sell | 1.51 | $0.930 | $1.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.912 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.594 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.941 | $4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.088 | $0.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.875 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.480 | $0.9 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 4.56 | $0.283 | $1.29 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |