Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 3.79 | $0.920 | $3.62 | +$0.13 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 8.47 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.74 |
| -$1.65 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.46 | $0.420 | $1.57 | -$1.57 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 7.59 | $0.240 | $0.72 | -$1.1 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.660 |
| $3.3 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
 Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.44 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.320 | $3.72 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.047 | $1.04 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.850 | $4.39 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.017 | $0.11 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.870 | $3.83 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.420 | $3.13 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 7.63 | $0.710 | $5.42 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.023 | $0.15 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.037 | $0.27 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.130 | $0.88 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.017 | $0.18 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.177 | $1.11 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.400 | $3.39 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.240 | $1.82 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.200 | $1.28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.920 | $3.49 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.921 | $3.67 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.880 | $3.41 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.928 | $2 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 27.21 | $0.810 | $22.04 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.076 | $0.38 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.157 | $13.11 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | sell | 23.08 | $0.829 | $19.14 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.760 | $9.17 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.350 | $1.96 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.080 | $0.7 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.845 | $19.49 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.160 | $1.87 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.850 | $10.06 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.262 | $1.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.750 | $4.29 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.955 | $1.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 13.25 | $0.270 | $3.58 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.750 | $10.07 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.290 | $2.02 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.130 | $10.83 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.810 | $5.7 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.110 | $1.37 | Mar 26, 2026 |