Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 87.2 | $0.150 | $13.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 451.73 |
| $0.028 |
| $12.77 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 451.74 | $0.024 | $11 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 NATO Article 5 by March 31?Yes | buy | 133.78 | $0.112 | $15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.031 | $15.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.170 | $42.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.75 | $0.200 | $3.15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 126.82 | $0.158 | $20 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump resign today?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.100 | $4.44 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 38.57 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 69.95 | $0.080 | $5.58 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Yes | buy | 72.61 | $0.069 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 69.96 | $0.071 | $5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNo | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Syria strikes Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 84.02 | $0.048 | $4 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $108k or $109k first?109k | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will another driver finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 208.92 | $0.010 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by July 15?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.052 | $4 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 78.57 | $0.140 | $11 | Jun 14, 2025 |