Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.500 | $453.7 | -$602.62 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.14K |
| $0.429 |
| $337.77 |
| -$153.77 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 654.98 | $0.315 | $144.09 | -$62.05 |
 Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 34.52K | $0.003 | $120.83 | +$6.96 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3.51K | $0.036 | $77.22 | -$49.4 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.150 | $45 | -$5 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 443.28 | $0.106 | $37.68 | -$9.41 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.77K | $0.029 | $30.96 | -$20.04 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 264.74 | $0.120 | $30.45 | -$1.32 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.016 | $18.2 | -$23.4 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.022 | $9.25 | -$1.75 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 41.32 | $0.116 | $4.65 | -$0.13 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.150 |
| $30 |
| 3d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 3d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 961.64 | $0.035 | $33.96 | 3d ago |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.069 | $83.89 | 5d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.092 | $82.71 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | 5d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | 20d ago |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | buy | 264.74 | $0.120 | $31.77 | 20d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 589 | $0.018 | $10.6 | 21d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 461.64 | $0.070 | $32.31 | 21d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 295.16 | $0.017 | $5.02 | 22d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.029 | $50.99 | 22d ago |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | buy | 443.28 | $0.106 | $47.09 | 22d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.070 | $21 | 22d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 316.1 | $0.320 | $101.15 | 22d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.250 | $379.3 | 22d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.380 | $114 | 24d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | 24d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | 25d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 439.99 | $0.410 | $180.4 | 26d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 473 | $0.250 | $118.25 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 473 | $0.259 | $122.33 | 28d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 902.63 | $0.130 | $117.34 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 153.21 | $0.456 | $69.86 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 415.7 | $0.015 | $6.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.270 | $81 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | sell | 231.06 | $0.053 | $12.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.65 | $0.330 | $18.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 577.65 | $0.168 | $97.11 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 231.06 | $0.059 | $13.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 453 | $0.570 | $258.21 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 224.99 | $0.170 | $38.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.137 | $34.3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes | sell | 292.19 | $0.024 | $6.89 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 434.27 | $0.031 | $13.47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 309.95 | $0.450 | $139.48 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 390.62 | $0.600 | $234.37 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 234.27 | $0.038 | $8.87 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.063 | $2.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 682.44 | $0.250 | $170.61 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 211.37 | $0.240 | $50.73 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 5.15K | $0.002 | $10.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 390.63 | $0.640 | $250 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 207.14 | $0.311 | $64.45 | Aug 5, 2026 |