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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 300 | $0.781 | $256.5 | +$22.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.38 | $0.751 | $22.83 | 15d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.710 |
| $164 |
| +$22 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.410 | $139 | +$57 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.150 | $120.25 | +$45.25 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.153 | $98 | -$55 |
 Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $81.5 | -$4.5 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.560 | $78.95 | +$22.95 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.258 | $78.2 | -$25 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 79.83 | $0.871 | $75.44 | +$5.88 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 59 | $0.856 | $53.4 | +$2.92 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 68.42 | $0.490 | $53.02 | +$19.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.56 | $0.860 | $39.41 | +$0.21 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 32 | $0.902 | $30.06 | +$1.2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 24.45 | $0.800 | $23.53 | +$3.97 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.15 | $0.806 | $23.52 | -$1.58 |
 Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 21.28 | $0.881 | $20.46 | +$1.71 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 21 | $0.849 | $19.51 | +$1.69 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $19.24 | +$0.64 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.943 | $19.07 | +$0.21 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.895 | $18.78 | +$0.88 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $18.6 | +$0.2 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.847 | $18.52 | +$1.59 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.29 | $0.790 | $16.49 | +$1.25 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $14.7 | +$1.3 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | No | 15.01 | $0.787 | $12.23 | +$0.42 |
| sell |
| 102.04 |
| $0.051 |
| $5.24 |
| 23d ago |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.017 | $0.02 | 23d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.050 | $0.06 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.070 | $0.36 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.080 | $1.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.480 | $14.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.2 | $0.350 | $31.57 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.950 | $0.95 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.586 | $58.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.56 | $0.220 | $1.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.580 | $14.49 | May 22, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.856 | $428 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.480 | $17.28 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.28 | $0.280 | $5.4 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No | sell | 599.95 | $0.193 | $115.63 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 881.39 | $0.001 | $0.88 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 80.48 | $0.870 | $70.02 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.9 | $0.220 | $2.4 | Apr 4, 2026 |