Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 133.05 | $0.249 | $60.74 | +$27.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 27.35 | $0.230 | $6.29 | 27d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 103.53 |
| $0.534 |
| $55.39 |
| +$0.05 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 93.38 | $0.470 | $47.16 | +$3.27 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 83.5 | $0.663 | $43.84 | -$11.49 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 55.47 | $0.665 | $40.77 | +$3.89 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 98.41 | $0.490 | $35.92 | -$12.3 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 51.08 | $0.600 | $27.58 | -$3.07 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 49.98 | $0.510 | $25.24 | -$0.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 26.87 | $0.860 | $24.58 | +$1.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 71 | $0.423 | $24.49 | -$5.55 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 41.2 | $0.370 | $22.45 | +$7.21 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 134.58 | $0.130 | $15.48 | -$2.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 109.47 | $0.130 | $13.68 | -$0.55 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 19.22 | $0.690 | $12.97 | -$0.29 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 55.54 | $0.232 | $12.08 | -$0.81 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 117.84 | $0.303 | $11.19 | -$24.53 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 253.83 | $0.060 | $9.01 | -$6.22 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 413.83 | $0.082 | $8.69 | -$25.39 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 92.9 | $0.170 | $1.44 | -$14.35 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.15 | $0.670 | $0.42 | -$14.42 |
| sell |
| 14.86 |
| $0.979 |
| $14.55 |
| 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 41.19 | $0.370 | $15.24 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 41.17 | $0.250 | $10.29 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 41.17 | $0.305 | $12.57 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 34.01 | $0.380 | $12.92 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 45.75 | $0.153 | $7.02 | 28d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?No | buy | 44.66 | $0.327 | $14.61 | 28d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | sell | 90.24 | $0.042 | $3.77 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 138.65 | $0.170 | $23.57 | 28d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 49.98 | $0.510 | $25.49 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.56 | $0.100 | $7.66 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 66.57 | $0.370 | $24.63 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.036 | $11.25 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 174.65 | $0.150 | $26.2 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.370 | $12.13 | 29d ago |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 98.41 | $0.490 | $48.22 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.03 | $0.250 | $14.51 | 29d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?No | sell | 25.58 | $0.978 | $25.02 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 174.65 | $0.200 | $34.93 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.12 | $0.260 | $19.79 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.35 | $0.388 | $38.54 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.56 | $0.160 | $12.25 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.56 | $0.740 | $23.35 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 32.88 | $0.800 | $26.3 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.044 | $13.75 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 17.74 | $0.870 | $15.43 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.23 | $0.260 | $4.22 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 90.24 | $0.403 | $36.4 | 29d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 28.62 | $0.660 | $18.89 | 29d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 63.85 | $0.060 | $3.83 | 29d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 64.49 | $0.984 | $63.46 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 29.91 | $0.372 | $11.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 40.21 | $0.580 | $23.32 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 24.91 | $0.540 | $13.45 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 129.08 | $0.120 | $15.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 13.21 | $0.660 | $8.72 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.4 | $0.120 | $3.29 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 53.91 | $0.120 | $6.47 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 24.91 | $0.684 | $17.04 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 82.89 | $0.232 | $19.23 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.13 | $0.300 | $14.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 66.27 | $0.120 | $7.95 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 253.83 | $0.060 | $15.23 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 40.21 | $0.370 | $14.88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?No | buy | 17.3 | $0.890 | $15.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 79.84 | $0.080 | $6.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.396 | $10.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.750 | $11.36 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 87.98 | $0.680 | $59.83 | Aug 8, 2026 |