Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.23 |
| $0.810 |
| $1 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.440 | $23.16 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.051 | $0.26 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | sell | 1.38 | $0.580 | $0.8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 46.86 | $0.427 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 45.48 | $0.440 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.56 | $0.630 | $0.98 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 63.13 | $0.317 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 310.62 | $0.064 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will "Trade" be said 5+ times during the Robinhood stream?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 818.96 | $0.035 | $28.66 | Dec 10, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.250 | $150 | Dec 10, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.080 | $150.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Chewy say "Brussels Sprout" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.080 | $0.09 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Chewy say "Brussels Sprout" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.998 | $1.63K | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.998 | $4.59K | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 4.59K | $0.999 | $4.58K | Nov 5, 2025 |
French election called by October 10?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.960 | $1.06 | Oct 8, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 545.65 | $0.997 | $544.01 | Oct 1, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 473.19 | $0.996 | $471.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.998 | $15.28 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on August 31?No | buy | 578 | $0.997 | $576.27 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.991 | $49.55 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?Yes | buy | 834.88 | $0.990 | $826.53 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?Yes | buy | 218.81 | $0.984 | $215.31 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?Yes | buy | 124.81 | $0.983 | $122.69 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on August 31?No | buy | 344.72 | $0.999 | $344.38 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on August 31?No | buy | 761.44 | $0.997 | $759.16 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on August 31?No | buy | 401.2 | $0.997 | $400 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Bebe Stevens make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?No | buy | 220.22 | $0.999 | $220 | Sep 25, 2025 |
TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?No | sell | 103.19 | $0.989 | $102.05 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?Yes | buy | 111.24 | $0.899 | $100 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 190.78 | $0.130 | $24.8 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 30.63 | $0.653 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Sep 16, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 139.01 | $0.719 | $100 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 527.18 | $0.379 | $200 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Giants vs. CowboysGiants | sell | 19.23 | $0.160 | $3.08 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Giants vs. CowboysCowboys | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Giants vs. CowboysGiants | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |