Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.62K | $0.870 | $5.13K | -$2.37K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62K | $0.870 | $7.5K | 12d ago |
 |
| No |
| 999.99 |
| $0.580 |
| $514.99 |
| -$65 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 646.24 | $0.117 | $93.7 | +$18.22 |
 Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.200 | $21.25 | +$16.25 |
| buy |
| 3.07K |
| $0.996 |
| $3.06K |
| 14d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 2.77K | $0.994 | $2.75K | 14d ago |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.130 | $28.6 | 25d ago |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 426.24 | $0.110 | $46.89 | 25d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.997 | $997 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.610 | $609.99 | 28d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 591.62 | $0.920 | $544.29 | 28d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | 29d ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | 29d ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | 29d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 6.33K | $0.953 | $6.03K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.24K | $0.999 | $13.22K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No | buy | 13.23K | $0.999 | $13.21K | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 13.19K | $0.996 | $13.13K | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.997 | $27.92 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 13K | $0.997 | $12.96K | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.360 | $359.75 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 12K | $0.995 | $11.94K | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.960 | $960 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.961 | $9.61K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.350 | $434.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.340 | $683.15 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.69 | $0.256 | $41.32 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.043 | $63.54 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.070 | $123.16 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.019 | $94 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 13K | $0.963 | $12.51K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.285 | $294.23 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?Yes | buy | 86.36 | $0.921 | $79.51 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.891 | $71.3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5K | $0.986 | $4.93K | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 17.68K | $0.980 | $17.33K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.980 | $1.97K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 105.37 | $0.996 | $104.97 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.997 | $2.29K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?Yes | sell | 555 | $0.975 | $541.13 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?Yes | buy | 17K | $0.980 | $16.66K | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.969 | $1.45K | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 980.11 | $0.025 | $24.75 | Dec 24, 2025 |