Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 9.12 | $0.877 | $8.5 | +$0.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.140 | $1.61 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.500 |
| $5.25 |
| +$0.25 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.250 | $3.3 | +$0.3 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4 | $0.750 | $3.08 | +$0.08 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.750 |
| $3 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.320 | $2.91 | 8d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.877 | $8 | 11d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | 11d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | sell | 11.57 | $0.991 | $11.47 | 11d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.681 | $7.89 | 11d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?No | buy | 14.1 | $0.355 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4 | 15d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 18d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.680 | $17.44 | 18d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.780 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.830 | $8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 15.87 | $0.315 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Bald | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?Yes | sell | 186.34 | $0.182 | $33.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.370 | $30 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.380 | $40 | Jun 10, 2026 |