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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 430.57 | $0.929 | $411.41 | +$11.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 205.14 | $0.770 | $157.96 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 67.61 |
| $0.865 |
| $66.39 |
| +$7.91 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 69.15 | $0.810 | $60.5 | +$4.49 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 137.84 | $0.863 | $51.69 | -$67.31 |
| buy |
| 31.65 |
| $0.790 |
| $25 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 29.62 | $0.840 | $24.88 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 69.47 | $0.777 | $54 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 50.42 | $0.957 | $48.25 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 104.03 | $0.769 | $80 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.986 | $49.3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No | sell | 39.72 | $0.943 | $37.46 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No | buy | 39.72 | $0.957 | $38 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 91.86 | $0.860 | $79 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 83.59 | $0.974 | $81.42 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.090 | $36 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 50.42 | $0.944 | $47.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 49.6 | $0.960 | $47.62 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 67.61 | $0.865 | $58.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 49.61 | $0.964 | $47.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 98.77 | $0.810 | $80 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.59 | $0.957 | $80 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.77 | $0.810 | $80 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 430.57 | $0.929 | $400 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 78.65 | $0.910 | $71.57 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 52.24 | $0.670 | $35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 37.63 | $0.930 | $35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 51.47 | $0.680 | $35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.910 | $35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 37.63 | $0.930 | $35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 78.65 | $0.890 | $70 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?No | sell | 77.63 | $0.980 | $76.08 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 72.01 | $0.990 | $71.29 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 86.28 | $0.811 | $70 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 102.61 | $0.985 | $101.07 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?No | sell | 37.23 | $0.978 | $36.42 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 36.3 | $0.979 | $35.52 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 74.46 | $0.981 | $73.05 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 75.2 | $0.986 | $74.15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.976 | $29.28 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | sell | 35.89 | $0.991 | $35.57 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 77.56 | $0.974 | $75.54 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 77.57 | $0.860 | $66.71 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?No | buy | 37.23 | $0.940 | $35 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.770 | $35 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Another Canada election called in 2025?No | buy | 75.21 | $0.931 | $70 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during speech on October 14?No | buy | 82.35 | $0.850 | $70 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 74.47 | $0.940 | $70 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 35.9 | $0.975 | $35 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 72.02 | $0.972 | $70 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 36.31 | $0.964 | $35 | Oct 11, 2025 |