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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.630 | $37.17 | Jun 3, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 33.8 |
| $0.540 |
| $18.25 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.064 | $1.34 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.987 | $40.47 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.987 | $40.47 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.743 | $40.12 | May 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.470 | $37.13 | May 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.470 | $37.13 | May 31, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.977 | $41.03 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.040 | $3.32 | May 30, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.968 | $40.66 | May 30, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.962 | $40.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.987 | $36.52 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.001 | $0 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 11 | $0.852 | $9.37 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 11 | $0.895 | $9.85 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No | sell | 7 | $0.993 | $6.95 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.043 | $2.06 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No | buy | 7 | $0.982 | $6.87 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.912 | $7.3 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.96 | $0.053 | $3.23 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.958 | $10.54 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 11 | $0.945 | $10.4 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 11 | $0.949 | $10.44 | May 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 11 | $0.957 | $10.53 | May 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11 | $0.967 | $10.64 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?No | sell | 11 | $0.972 | $10.69 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 11 | $0.963 | $10.59 | May 29, 2025 |
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 11 | $0.954 | $10.49 | May 28, 2025 |
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No | buy | 10 | $0.932 | $9.32 | May 8, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | May 7, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.990 | $1.75 | May 7, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.970 | $11.64 | May 7, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.961 | $11.53 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 57°F or higher on March 27?No | buy | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.950 | $11.4 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.972 | $11.66 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.028 | $1.79 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.989 | $13.85 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on March 21?No | buy | 13 | $0.993 | $12.91 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.017 | $1.33 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 65°F or higher on March 16?No | sell | 11 | $0.981 | $10.79 | Mar 16, 2025 |