Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.67 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.67 |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.997 | $1.54 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.920 | $1.35 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.920 | $1.34 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.997 | $1.26 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.957 | $2.48 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.950 | $2.87 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.997 | $2.56 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.986 | $5.6 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.962 | $2.04 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in September?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.997 | $1.6 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.998 | $1.87 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.998 | $2.1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.659 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.997 | $2.1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.995 | $2.4 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.997 | $2.81 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.995 | $1.56 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.997 | $1.69 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.997 | $2.2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.997 | $3.5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.948 | $6 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.955 | $7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 10.73 | $0.932 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.985 | $3.6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.981 | $5.2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.976 | $5.6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.959 | $5.41 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.970 | $5.46 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.959 | $5.41 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.970 | $5.69 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.959 | $5.75 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.955 | $5.3 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.953 | $5.8 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.997 | $5.28 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.997 | $5.08 | May 6, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.997 | $5.09 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.015 | $29.99 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.021 | $30 | Nov 18, 2024 |