Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.102 | $7.38 | +$6.38 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 18?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $6.73 |
| +$5.73 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 4.31 | $0.290 | $3.66 | +$2.41 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | Yes | 24.63 | $0.203 | $2.89 | -$2.11 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 51.26 | $0.117 | $2.23 | -$3.77 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.709 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $1.2 | -$3.8 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 16.03 | $0.125 | $0.62 | -$1.38 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.014 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 14.49 | $0.069 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | Yes | 10.31 | $0.097 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 74.74 | $0.027 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.280 |
| $1 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 17?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.538 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?Yes | buy | 19.46 | $0.051 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?Yes | buy | 105.27 | $0.008 | $0.88 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.052 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.147 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | sell | 4.13 | $0.990 | $4.09 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.48 | $0.220 | $0.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 2.14 | $0.991 | $2.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 4.48 | $0.220 | $0.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.83 | $0.530 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 21.99 | $0.030 | $0.66 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.49 | $0.390 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will China join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |