Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 4.24 | $0.650 | $0.66 | -$2.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 13.56 | $0.500 | $6.78 | Mar 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.180 |
| $0.03 |
| -$1.78 |
| buy |
| 5.82 |
| $0.170 |
| $0.99 |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp | buy | 8.19 | $0.240 | $1.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.019 | $1.05 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.038 | $0.38 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 9.16 | $0.670 | $6.14 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 GPT-5.4 released by March 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.029 | $1.31 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 16?No | buy | 55 | $0.040 | $2.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.090 | $0.69 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 9?No | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?No | buy | 11 | $0.150 | $1.65 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 86.51 | $0.142 | $12.28 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars?No | buy | 29 | $0.035 | $1.02 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.154 | $1.95 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.016 | $1.01 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.007 | $0.94 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 71 | $0.040 | $2.84 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Chase Infiniti win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | buy | 34.33 | $0.029 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | sell | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.227 | $1.14 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Noah Wyle win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.055 | $1.1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.056 | $0.36 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | buy | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.151 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.170 | $1.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.350 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.085 | $2.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.963 | $19.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.090 | $0.48 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red?No | sell | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.025 | $3.25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 4.31 | $0.966 | $4.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.060 | $0.32 | Feb 27, 2026 |