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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 833.33 | $0.960 | $817.08 | +$17.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 71.94 | $0.139 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 425.61 |
| $0.940 |
| $425.39 |
| +$25.39 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 835.18 | $0.599 | $396.71 | -$103.29 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 609.98 | $0.551 | $306.51 | -$29.49 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 304.88 | $0.984 | $304.12 | +$4.12 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 312.5 | $0.960 | $288.13 | -$11.88 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 201.21 | $0.994 | $200.91 | +$0.91 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 621.12 | $0.161 | $125.16 | +$25.16 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 104.82 | $0.954 | $104.77 | +$4.77 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $104.51 | +$4.51 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 105.26 | $0.950 | $103.47 | +$3.47 |
 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 101.21 | $0.988 | $101.16 | +$1.16 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 384.62 | $0.260 | $92.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 105.26 | $0.950 | $91.32 | -$8.68 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 131.06 | $0.763 | $71.23 | -$28.77 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $69.95 | -$30.05 |
 Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 72.83 | $0.920 | $66.78 | -$0.22 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.38K | $0.084 | $27.38 | -$172.61 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 57.47 | $0.870 | $21.55 | -$28.45 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.300 | $21.5 | -$278.5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 113.9 | $0.878 | $19.76 | -$80.24 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.13K | $0.016 | $4.06 | -$125.93 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.97K | $0.044 | $3.49 | -$306.51 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.016 |
| $80 |
| May 20, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.48K | $0.047 | $210 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 362.32 | $0.138 | $50 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.016 | $50 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.040 | $100 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 131.06 | $0.763 | $100 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?No | buy | 292.16 | $0.239 | $69.95 | May 4, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 483.87 | $0.620 | $300 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on March 25?Yes | buy | 30.96 | $0.646 | $20 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 842.33 | $0.366 | $308.61 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.65 | $0.932 | $200 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 125.04 | $0.800 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 158.87 | $0.629 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on February 23?Yes | buy | 71.09 | $0.985 | $70 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 621.12 | $0.161 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 150.98 | $0.390 | $58.88 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 109.89 | $0.044 | $4.85 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of February?Yes | sell | 202.02 | $0.019 | $3.77 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes | buy | 112.9 | $0.620 | $70 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 107.64 | $0.929 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 104.82 | $0.954 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.300 | $200 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 102.46 | $0.976 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | buy | 71.91 | $0.890 | $64 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 125.53 | $0.773 | $97 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 72.83 | $0.920 | $67 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.12 | $0.850 | $46 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 96.26 | $0.561 | $54 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.01 | $0.937 | $60 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 148.3 | $0.674 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes | buy | 110.49 | $0.905 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |