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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 18 | $0.880 | $15.84 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 16 |
| $0.840 |
| $13.44 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15 | $0.840 | $12.6 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 16 | $0.830 | $13.28 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 16 | $0.830 | $13.28 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.910 | $9.09 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No | sell | 35 | $0.990 | $34.65 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No | sell | 38 | $0.985 | $37.43 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No | buy | 13 | $0.969 | $12.6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No | buy | 13 | $0.988 | $12.84 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No | buy | 13 | $0.969 | $12.6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No | buy | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No | buy | 12 | $0.969 | $11.63 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No | buy | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.965 | $25.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 27 | $0.969 | $26.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?No | sell | 27 | $0.998 | $26.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.949 | $24.67 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?No | buy | 27 | $0.986 | $26.62 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.945 | $27.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.945 | $25.51 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 27 | $0.984 | $26.57 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 34 | $0.991 | $33.69 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.989 | $37.57 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?No change | buy | 36 | $0.984 | $35.41 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 34 | $0.981 | $33.34 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.988 | $42.48 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | sell | 42.26 | $0.954 | $40.32 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.980 | $42.16 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.959 | $41.24 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.991 | $39.65 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.982 | $42.23 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No | sell | 43 | $0.995 | $42.79 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No | sell | 44 | $0.996 | $43.82 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No | buy | 44 | $0.986 | $43.38 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.982 | $42.21 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No | buy | 43 | $0.988 | $42.48 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | sell | 21 | $0.961 | $20.19 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.979 | $48.95 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.994 | $49.7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.960 | $20.15 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.985 | $49.23 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | sell | 42 | $0.910 | $38.22 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | sell | 47 | $0.983 | $46.2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.974 | $43.83 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.910 | $8.19 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.964 | $43.4 | Jan 19, 2026 |