Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.664 | $49.75 | -$16.66 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 60 |
| $0.769 |
| $48.27 |
| +$2.1 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.913 | $28.94 | +$1.55 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.926 | $28.67 | +$0.88 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.867 | $28.05 | +$2.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.610 | $20.2 | -$4.2 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $19.9 | +$5.7 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 19.99 | $0.957 | $19.53 | +$0.4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $19.36 | +$4.16 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 20 | $0.928 | $19.31 | +$0.74 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $17.7 | +$4.3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $17.3 | +$6.5 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.455 | $15.27 | +$6.17 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.555 | $12.9 | +$1.8 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.900 | $9.77 | +$0.77 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10 | $0.955 | $9.77 | +$0.22 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10 | $0.945 | $9.65 | +$0.2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.410 | $9.3 | +$1.1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | Nothing | 7.14 | $0.860 | $6.68 | +$0.54 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 30 | $0.293 | $4.65 | -$4.15 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.930 |
| $46.5 |
| 23d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.560 | $84 | 23d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 23d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 23d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.160 | $185.6 | 23d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 208.92 | $0.821 | $171.52 | 23d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.180 | $10.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.140 | $262.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.986 | $98.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.987 | $49.34 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 37.5 | $0.997 | $37.39 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No | sell | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell KruegerHenry Searle | buy | 10 | $0.605 | $6.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto VirtanenOtto Virtanen | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.929 | $18.58 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsThunderTalk Gaming | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.997 | $89.73 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.977 | $97.7 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | May 31, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.110 | $9.9 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 50 | $0.686 | $34.3 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.976 | $97.6 | May 31, 2026 |