Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? | Over | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20.54 | +$0.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.54 | $0.630 | $2.86 | 18d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 56.67 |
| $0.090 |
| $6.52 |
| +$1.42 |
| Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $3.53 | +$1.53 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.54 | $0.630 | $2.2 | -$0.66 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $1 |
| 18d ago |
| Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?Over | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.7 | $0.461 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 14.45 | $0.605 | $8.74 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 54.44 | $0.120 | $6.53 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 21.23 | $0.117 | $2.48 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.310 | $2.11 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.84 | $0.154 | $1.21 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.350 | $0.79 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.700 | $4.94 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.640 | $8.08 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29.07 | $0.172 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.175 | $3 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.163 | $4.08 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 23.55 | $0.330 | $7.77 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.95 | $0.710 | $7.77 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 135.71 | $0.147 | $19.94 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.680 | $4.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.220 | $4.71 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.011 | $0.09 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.222 | $1.34 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.220 | $7.86 | Oct 10, 2025 |