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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.038 | $50 | Feb 11, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 235.65 |
| $0.042 |
| $10 |
| Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.978 | $32.6 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.330 | $11 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 4?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.832 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?130k | sell | 25 | $0.750 | $18.75 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?130k | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Ethereum above $4500 on September 8?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on September 8?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?Yes | buy | 79.23 | $0.126 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes | buy | 45.1 | $0.510 | $23 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 11?Yes | buy | 12.94 | $0.850 | $11 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on July 19?Down | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on July 21?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 11?Yes | buy | 37.93 | $0.290 | $11 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Solana above $140 on July 11?Yes | buy | 14.47 | $0.760 | $11 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?Up | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.906 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?Up | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |