Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.937 | $480.74 | +$12.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?No | sell | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | 28d ago |
| No |
| 491 |
| $0.800 |
| $429.63 |
| +$36.83 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 500 | $0.632 | $248.75 | -$67.25 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 190 | $0.972 | $189.05 | +$4.37 |
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?No| sell |
| 60 |
| $0.959 |
| $57.56 |
| 28d ago |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.960 | $28.79 | 28d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.927 | $185.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.972 | $184.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.994 | $198.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.910 | $10.01 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner win more than 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.050 | $0.05 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.012 | $2.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.088 | $17.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.023 | $0.46 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | sell | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.21 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 5%?No | sell | 20 | $0.953 | $19.06 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.005 | $0.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.092 | $18.42 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.076 | $15.17 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.068 | $2.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | sell | 19.32 | $0.310 | $5.99 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.117 | $2.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner win more than 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.060 | $1.14 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.060 | $0.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?No | sell | 18.96 | $0.650 | $12.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 198.9 | $0.105 | $20.91 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.991 | $297.3 | May 24, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.590 | $3.02 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.86 | $0.821 | $45.86 | May 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.102 | $20.42 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.600 | $3.07 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 87 | $0.670 | $58.29 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 113 | $0.670 | $75.71 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.761 | $152.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes | sell | 45.74 | $0.522 | $23.86 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |