Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 26.43 |
| $0.227 |
| $1.72 |
| -$4.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 10.3 | $0.388 | $1.6 | -$2.4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 35.19 | $0.114 | $1.35 | -$2.65 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 41 | $0.170 | $1.29 | -$5.68 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 29.29 | $0.102 | $1.1 | -$1.9 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.81 | -$1.19 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 4.65 | $0.430 | $0.79 | -$1.21 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 9.3 | $0.420 | $0.7 | -$3.21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.968 |
| $1 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.106 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.550 | $1.93 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.108 | $2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 13.75 | $0.073 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Jake Paul" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Strait of Hormuz" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Claude" or "Anthropic" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Autonomous" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.070 | $1.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.510 | $1.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.539 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.1 | $0.950 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |