Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 32.07 | $0.675 | $21.65 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 19.58 |
| $0.979 |
| $19.17 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 12.49 | $0.974 | $12.17 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 24.16 | $0.989 | $23.89 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.17 | $0.993 | $24 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.938 | $5.33 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.043 | $0.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.947 | $5.38 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.870 | $5.24 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 30.79 | $0.956 | $29.44 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.890 | $9.35 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | sell | 32.02 | $0.977 | $31.28 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | buy | 10.51 | $0.880 | $9.25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8)No | buy | 9.51 | $0.989 | $9.41 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.997 | $9.13 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | buy | 32.02 | $0.850 | $27.22 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.920 | $4.99 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.840 | $11.81 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 27.72 | $0.977 | $27.08 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.930 | $7.58 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 22.07 | $0.920 | $20.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.966 | $14.91 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 24.15 | $0.840 | $20.29 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.920 | $21.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Marjorie Traitor Greene" this week (November 24–30)?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.900 | $5.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.980 | $2.24 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.982 | $1.5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.880 | $3.16 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.840 | $3.49 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.759 | $3.15 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on October 31?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.999 | $1.98 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.999 | $2.99 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.997 | $4.05 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes | buy | 2.45 | $0.997 | $2.44 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | sell | 15.13 | $0.996 | $15.07 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | buy | 15.13 | $0.998 | $15.1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 7.51 | $0.780 | $5.86 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time before September?No | buy | 4.45 | $0.999 | $4.45 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.890 | $6.69 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.999 | $10.74 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Was Kanye hacked?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.990 | $8.73 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.998 | $10.17 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | buy | 13.96 | $0.996 | $13.9 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.999 | $15.03 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 17.03 | $0.990 | $16.86 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.999 | $1.62 | Aug 1, 2025 |