Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | No | 20.62K | $0.970 | $19.99K | -$10.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.385 | $20 | 2d ago |
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| Yes |
| 8.09K |
| $0.637 |
| $7.57K |
| +$2.41K |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 14.44K | $0.619 | $3.46K | -$5.47K |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 2.61K | $0.844 | $2.47K | +$262.83 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 1.5K | $0.837 | $1.43K | +$175.9 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 6.3K | $0.551 | $1.29K | -$2.18K |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.900 | $999.5 | +$99.5 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.840 | $964.29 | -$35.71 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1.62K | $0.400 | $576.87 | -$73.11 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 999.98 | $0.560 | $464.99 | -$95 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.740 | $427.5 | +$57.5 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 499.99 | $0.680 | $417.49 | +$77.5 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 548.39 | $0.479 | $408.55 | +$145.59 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.468 | $379.99 | +$145.93 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 422.52 | $0.710 | $365.48 | +$65.49 |
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 627.32 | $0.285 | $276.02 | +$97.03 |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | No | 235 | $0.621 | $230.42 | +$84.47 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 221.73 | $0.920 | $214.75 | +$10.75 |
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? | Yes | 391.76 | $0.238 | $209.59 | +$116.4 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.700 | $192.86 | -$807.14 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 149.79 | $0.710 | $148.52 | +$42.17 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? | Yes | 535.03 | $0.045 | $74.9 | +$50.57 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 72.9 | $0.630 | $68.16 | +$22.23 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 57.9 | $0.760 | $50.66 | +$6.66 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.046 | $42.07 | -$43.61 |
| buy |
| 1.19K |
| $0.840 |
| $1K |
| 2d ago |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?No | buy | 20.62K | $0.970 | $20K | 2d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 3.41K | $0.880 | $3K | Aug 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 8.17K | $0.979 | $8K | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 930.95 | $0.860 | $800.62 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.468 | $234.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.413 | $206.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.472 | $236.18 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 3.29K | $0.608 | $2K | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.568 | $800 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.880 | $1.32K | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 2.61K | $0.870 | $2.27K | Jul 24, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 2.1K | $0.850 | $1.78K | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 238.81 | $0.670 | $160 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 584.06 | $0.770 | $450 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.729 | $1.5K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.807 | $5K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 2.78K | $0.988 | $2.75K | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | sell | 260.93 | $0.424 | $110.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.860 | $2K | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 988.86 | $0.910 | $900 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.617 | $1.8K | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 2.43K | $0.618 | $1.5K | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.800 | $1.3K | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | buy | 674.68 | $0.889 | $600 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 980.42 | $0.816 | $800 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.780 | $1K | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Yes | sell | 63.31 | $0.296 | $18.73 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 312 | $0.830 | $258.96 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.817 | $1.8K | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.985 | $197.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Yes | sell | 117.58 | $0.800 | $94.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 2K | $0.141 | $281.68 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 3.54K | $0.847 | $3K | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Yes | buy | 253.27 | $0.474 | $120 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Yes | buy | 520.87 | $0.826 | $430 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.732 | $1.5K | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 308.93 | $0.820 | $253.32 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 844.59 | $0.592 | $500 | Jul 18, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 302.91 | $0.660 | $200 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 422.54 | $0.710 | $300 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 4.49K | $0.890 | $4K | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.674 | $202.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Yes | sell | 178.34 | $0.193 | $34.44 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.930 | $987.47 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No | sell | 331.65 | $0.541 | $179.45 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.460 | $500 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.53K | $0.062 | $280.87 | Jun 25, 2026 |