Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8.04 | $0.985 | $8 | +$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.965 | $1.1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.220 |
| $2.75 |
| +$0.55 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.34 | +$0.24 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.965 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 10 | $0.104 | $0.35 | -$0.7 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 10 | $0.310 | $0.14 | -$2.97 |
| buy |
| 1.39 |
| $0.790 |
| $1.1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.986 | $2.94 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.984 | $1.47 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.984 | $1.47 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.985 | $2.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.984 | $2.03 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.985 | $1.32 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.610 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on July 29?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.900 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 29?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 29?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.640 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on July 29?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |