Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.934 | $18.6 | -$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?No | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.810 |
| $18.4 |
| +$2.2 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.940 | $17.1 | -$1.7 |
 Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.870 | $15.28 | -$2.1 |
 Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | No | 22.9 | $0.615 | $13.82 | -$0.27 |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 20 | $0.590 | $12.6 | +$0.8 |
| Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 25.03 | $0.514 | $12.14 | -$0.73 |
 Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $12.1 | -$1.5 |
 Will Kari Gares win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election? | No | 20 | $0.620 | $12.1 | -$0.3 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $11.9 | -$1.7 |
 Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.610 | $11.8 | -$0.4 |
 Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.740 | $11.5 | -$3.3 |
 Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | Yes | 20 | $0.446 | $11.33 | +$2.41 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | No | 15 | $0.450 | $11.33 | +$4.58 |
 Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $11.3 | -$2.3 |
 Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election? | No | 20 | $0.590 | $11.1 | -$0.7 |
 Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $10.5 | -$7.1 |
 Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.540 | $10.3 | -$0.5 |
 Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.580 | $10.1 | -$1.5 |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.610 | $10 | -$2.2 |
 Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.540 | $9.9 | -$0.9 |
 Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $9.8 | +$0.2 |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | Yes | 9.97 | $0.942 | $9.68 | +$0.3 |
| Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon? | Yes | 20 | $0.660 | $9.5 | -$3.7 |
 Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.650 | $9.3 | -$3.7 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.031 |
| $0.62 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?No | sell | 10.15 | $0.270 | $2.74 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | sell | 20 | $0.154 | $3.08 | 2d ago |
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?No | sell | 14.9 | $0.320 | $4.77 | 2d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 2d ago |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 2d ago |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.916 | $9.16 | 2d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 2d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.900 | $14.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.958 | $19.16 | 2d ago |
 Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 2d ago |
 Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
 Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton again?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
 Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 2d ago |
 Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
 Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 2d ago |
 Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.058 | $1.16 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.075 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | sell | 15.7 | $0.150 | $2.36 | 2d ago |
 Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 2d ago |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?No | sell | 19 | $0.260 | $4.94 | 2d ago |
 Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 SummerNo | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 2d ago |
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.360 | $6.48 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.491 | $9.33 | 2d ago |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.467 | $9.34 | 2d ago |
 Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?No | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 2d ago |
 Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 2d ago |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 2d ago |