Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.28 |
| $0.013 |
| $0.18 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.040 | $0.19 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.070 | $0.47 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.051 | $0.64 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.14 | $0.042 | $0.76 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.110 | $0.92 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.280 | $0.85 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.009 | $0.6 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.038 | $0.63 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.850 | $0.95 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.150 | $2.2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BBC.Game Esports | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Up | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 7.5K | $0.002 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.940 | $0.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.976 | $1.04 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.983 | $3.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.974 | $5.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.928 | $3.86 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.971 | $2.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.980 | $2.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.983 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |