Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 1.05K | $0.950 | $1.05K | +$52.11 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.950 | $961.98 | 20h ago |
|
| buy |
| 6.48 |
| $0.950 |
| $6.16 |
| 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 33.54 | $0.950 | $31.86 | 20h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 27.07 | $0.900 | $24.36 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 20.61 | $0.851 | $17.54 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 9.63 | $0.841 | $8.1 | 5d ago |
 Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in United States this month?Yes | buy | 15.52 | $0.950 | $14.74 | 9d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 616.88 | $0.970 | $598.37 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.970 | $9.69 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.23 | $0.963 | $55.11 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.960 | $240 | 9d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | 10d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.005 | $0.03 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.29 | $0.824 | $85.94 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.09 | $0.810 | $69.73 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 430.3 | $0.792 | $340.64 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.780 | $23.32 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 643.95 | $0.658 | $423.87 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | 11d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 36 | $0.970 | $34.92 | 11d ago |
 ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.970 | $29.22 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.961 | $43.25 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.970 | $10.67 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.970 | $4.84 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.82 | $0.970 | $14.38 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.950 | $42.75 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.14 | $0.960 | $110.53 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 347.79 | $0.390 | $135.66 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.02 | $0.960 | $38.42 | 12d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.48 | $0.923 | $70.56 | 12d ago |
 Will there be at least 2850 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.33 | $0.881 | $83.11 | 13d ago |
| Will there be at least 2850 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.12 | $0.899 | $36.97 | 13d ago |
| Will there be at least 2850 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.878 | $7.19 | 13d ago |
| Will there be at least 2800 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.18 | $0.896 | $72.75 | 13d ago |
 Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.78 | $0.750 | $17.84 | 15d ago |
| Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.99 | $0.940 | $20.67 | 15d ago |
| Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.910 | $20.02 | 15d ago |
| Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.870 | $19.14 | 15d ago |
| Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.15 | $0.897 | $28.82 | 15d ago |
 Will 3-4 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 26.98 | $0.960 | $25.9 | 16d ago |
| Will 7-9 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 26 | $0.950 | $24.7 | 16d ago |
| Will 1-2 states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 26 | $0.950 | $24.7 | 16d ago |
| Will no states be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 26 | $0.950 | $24.7 | 16d ago |
 Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 99.75 | $0.967 | $96.46 | 18d ago |
 GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 189 | $0.540 | $102.06 | 21d ago |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.610 | $7.92 | 21d ago |