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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 29.99 | $0.360 | $10.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 29.99 | $0.360 | $10.8 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.480 |
| $8.9 |
| -$0.7 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.170 | $7.25 | -$1.25 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.140 | $4.35 | +$0.15 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.160 | $3.3 | +$0.1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.9 | $0.100 | $3.11 | +$0.62 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.240 | $2.25 | -$0.15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $1.45 | -$0.05 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.85 | -$0.35 |
| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.100 |
| $0.7 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 1d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.052 | $5.2 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.057 | $5.68 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.938 | $9.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.216 | $6.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.102 | $10.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.263 | $7.89 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.005 | $0.25 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | sell | 27.76 | $0.360 | $9.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.026 | $13 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on January 29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on January 29?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on January 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on January 28?No | sell | 28.02 | $0.011 | $0.31 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on January 28?No | buy | 28.02 | $0.170 | $4.76 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on January 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 14.85 | $0.450 | $6.68 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.450 | $3.51 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.450 | $3.51 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?Down | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.090 | $3.75 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.026 | $5.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.52 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.012 | $8.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |