Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 6.45 | $0.310 | $5.13 | +$3.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.840 |
| $4.82 |
| +$0.62 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.003 |
| $1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETUp | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 61.82 | $0.230 | $14.22 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 90 | $0.027 | $2.43 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.937 | $0.94 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.840 | $3.36 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5K | $0.006 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.011 | $3.3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.49 | $0.390 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | sell | 2.14 | $0.991 | $2.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.2 | $0.440 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp | buy | 2.37 | $0.410 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.53 | $0.550 | $1.94 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.991 | $1.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | sell | 13 | $0.110 | $1.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown | buy | 7.64 | $0.130 | $0.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |