Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.950 | $0.99 | 15d ago |
|
| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $1 |
| 15d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 5.04 | $0.997 | $5.02 | 15d ago |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.990 | $5.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.996 | $9.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 10.06 | $0.995 | $10.01 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Meta reach $810 in February?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $30?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.980 | $4.96 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be less than 1,500,000?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.975 | $4.92 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |