Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 520 | $0.200 | $413.4 | +$309.4 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.67 | $0.997 | $27.59 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 40.78 |
| $0.890 |
| $38.13 |
| +$1.84 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | No | 28 | $0.936 | $27.72 | +$1.51 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.74 | $0.870 | $26.87 | +$1.87 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 18.65 | $0.870 | $18.34 | +$2.12 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 19 | $0.860 | $17.96 | +$1.62 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 17.72 | $0.967 | $17.57 | +$0.43 |
| buy |
| 17.72 |
| $0.967 |
| $17.14 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.04 | $0.994 | $17.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.987 | $12.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.936 | $26.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.950 | $14.27 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.985 | $23.64 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.206 | $3.77 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 26.05 | $0.962 | $25.06 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.981 | $12.24 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.880 | $22 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.996 | $26.89 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 24.67 | $0.900 | $22.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.250 | $6.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?Yes | buy | 297.5 | $0.003 | $0.87 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.820 | $13.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.967 | $53.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 92.11 | $0.830 | $76.45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 135.47 | $0.962 | $130.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 18.65 | $0.870 | $16.23 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.860 | $16.34 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 27.84 | $0.994 | $27.67 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 27.06 | $0.924 | $25 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 26.96 | $0.993 | $26.77 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | sell | 30.81 | $0.998 | $30.75 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 36 | $0.966 | $34.78 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | buy | 30.81 | $0.997 | $30.71 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 135.47 | $0.975 | $132.08 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting?No | buy | 33 | $0.995 | $32.84 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 40.78 | $0.890 | $36.29 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | buy | 22.38 | $0.983 | $22 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.8 | $0.250 | $7.45 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 45.3 | $0.993 | $45 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 81.96 | $0.993 | $81.39 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.05 | $0.014 | $1.08 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 57.41 | $0.210 | $12.06 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 44.38 | $0.984 | $43.67 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 15.56 | $0.964 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | buy | 25.88 | $0.966 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | buy | 39.62 | $0.959 | $38 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 31.02 | $0.967 | $30 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.96 | $0.910 | $24.53 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.995 | $54.73 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 31.63 | $0.980 | $31 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.995 | $20.9 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.002 | $2.32 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.940 | $20.68 | Nov 5, 2025 |