Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $1 |
| Jun 22, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.037 | $1.11 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.376 | $3.76 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.128 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | May 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | May 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.470 | $0.67 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 23.12 | $0.470 | $10.87 | May 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.012 | $1.08 | May 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.061 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 13.69 | $0.073 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
 Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.660 | $3.14 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | May 9, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 9, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.760 | $2.05 | May 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.031 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
 Israel military action on Yemen before June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | May 4, 2025 |
| Israel military action on Yemen before June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 222.5 | $0.018 | $4 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |