Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 24.1 | $0.830 | $23.36 | +$3.36 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 25.64 |
| $0.390 |
| $12.88 |
| +$2.88 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.495 | $0.05 | -$4.95 |
| buy |
| 10.1 |
| $0.495 |
| $5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?Yes | buy | 13.41 | $0.349 | $4.67 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?No | buy | 10.96 | $0.274 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?No | buy | 26 | $0.750 | $19.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 McDonald's CEO out by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
 German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?No | buy | 16.92 | $0.650 | $11 | May 2, 2025 |
 ChatGPT #1 app May 9?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?Up | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
 Canada election called by midnight?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be Black?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Kanye West arrested in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will U.S. tourism decline in April?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Make a deal" during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |