Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 298 | $0.660 | $233.93 | +$37.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.73K | $0.998 | $1.73K | May 8, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 1.04K |
| $0.559 |
| $78.34 |
| -$505.16 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 40 | $0.840 | $38.74 | +$5.14 |
| buy |
| 796 |
| $0.991 |
| $788.84 |
| May 8, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 236.28 | $0.967 | $228.58 | May 7, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 24.78 | $0.974 | $24.14 | May 7, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 298 | $0.660 | $196.68 | May 7, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 919.2 | $0.929 | $853.84 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 339 | $0.989 | $335.27 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.995 | $1.73K | Apr 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 198 | $0.975 | $193.05 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 199 | $0.090 | $17.91 | Apr 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 6.15K | $0.008 | $49.17 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 180.07 | $0.908 | $163.48 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.936 | $1.48K | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 697.98 | $0.999 | $697.28 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.930 | $946.81 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.970 | $1.12K | Mar 27, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 298 | $0.940 | $280.12 | Mar 27, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 398 | $0.940 | $374.12 | Mar 27, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 800.73 | $0.988 | $791.12 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 109.99 | $0.870 | $95.69 | Mar 27, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 4.16K | $0.860 | $3.57K | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 249 | $0.997 | $248.25 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 102.72 | $0.973 | $99.95 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 86.69 | $0.830 | $71.94 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.989 | $2.31K | Mar 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 398 | $0.810 | $322.38 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.989 | $1.77K | Mar 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 99 | $0.810 | $80.19 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 286.57 | $0.890 | $255.05 | Mar 9, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 573.09 | $0.890 | $510.05 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 639.86 | $0.897 | $573.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 365.53 | $0.897 | $327.88 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.898 | $1.27K | Mar 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 793 | $0.897 | $711.32 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 398 | $0.840 | $334.32 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 493.27 | $0.947 | $467.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 383.39 | $0.944 | $361.92 | Mar 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 99 | $0.779 | $77.17 | Mar 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 222 | $0.930 | $206.46 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.995 | $2.02K | Mar 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 7.12K | $0.998 | $7.1K | Mar 5, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.995 | $4.21K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 4.41K | $0.998 | $4.41K | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 75.67 | $0.979 | $74.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 4.76K | $0.998 | $4.75K | Feb 26, 2026 |
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | buy | 699 | $0.830 | $580.17 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.983 | $1.11K | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 64 | $0.981 | $62.77 | Feb 26, 2026 |