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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 895.05 | $0.548 | $416.2 | -$74.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | 11d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 218.08 |
| $0.240 |
| $100.32 |
| +$47.98 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 222.99 | $0.338 | $65.78 | -$9.62 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 164 | $0.153 | $11.64 | -$13.45 |
| buy |
| 175.46 |
| $0.580 |
| $101.77 |
| 29d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 218.08 | $0.240 | $52.34 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 46.01 | $0.760 | $34.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.410 | $25.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 164 | $0.153 | $25.09 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.946 | $2.66 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 6 | $0.971 | $5.83 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.410 | $6.95 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No | buy | 131.95 | $0.600 | $79.12 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.11 | $0.440 | $43.61 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.51 | $0.570 | $43.61 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.52 | $0.660 | $50.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.31 | $0.650 | $6.05 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 108.42 | $0.410 | $44.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.580 | $5.4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 108.42 | $0.920 | $99.75 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 5.4 | $0.920 | $4.97 | Jan 22, 2026 |