Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 102.29 | $0.391 | $22.5 | -$17.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 265.86 |
| $0.150 |
| $17.28 |
| -$22.72 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 324.07 | $0.108 | $12.31 | -$22.69 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 128.57 | $0.140 | $5.53 | -$12.47 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 81.5 | $0.140 | $4.48 | -$6.93 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.120 | $4.37 | -$20.62 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $3.35 | -$11.65 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $3.3 | -$14.7 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 164.03 | $0.110 | $2.87 | -$15.13 |
| sell |
| 134.4 |
| $0.024 |
| $3.19 |
| May 9, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 81.5 | $0.140 | $11.41 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 268.8 | $0.050 | $13.44 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 164.03 | $0.110 | $18 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 128.57 | $0.140 | $18 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 324.07 | $0.108 | $35 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 220.41 | $0.159 | $35 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.29 | $0.391 | $40 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 106.67 | $0.075 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 125 | $0.064 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 92.16 | $0.999 | $92.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.19 | $0.999 | $134.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.998 | $184.81 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 133.81 | $0.999 | $133.68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 218.94 | $0.570 | $124.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 175.54 | $0.140 | $24.58 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 218.94 | $0.500 | $109.47 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.88 | $0.482 | $18.75 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.250 | $18.75 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.17 | $0.530 | $48.85 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.67 | $0.359 | $49 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.57 | $0.110 | $3.47 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.190 | $6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.64 | $0.550 | $35 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.360 | $27 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.41 | $0.500 | $42.71 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.18 | $0.570 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.86 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.27 | $0.260 | $9.17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.59 | $0.310 | $9.17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.36 | $0.530 | $8.67 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.87 | $0.504 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.320 | $9.47 | Jan 11, 2026 |