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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 24.39 |
| $0.410 |
| $10 |
| May 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | sell | 5.71 | $0.990 | $5.65 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 77.22 | $0.531 | $41.03 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.42 | $0.330 | $1.79 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.57 | $0.500 | $2.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 8.5 | $0.550 | $4.68 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | sell | 4.81 | $0.890 | $4.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.41 | $0.320 | $1.73 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 4.63 | $0.490 | $2.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.130 | $104 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 38.91 | $0.370 | $14.4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | sell | 60 | $0.980 | $58.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.377 | $15.08 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.920 | $11.96 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes | buy | 28.63 | $0.900 | $25.77 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.900 | $1.18 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.928 | $46.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $90.96 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.879 | $35.16 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes | buy | 46.83 | $0.873 | $40.88 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.872 | $43.6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.982 | $4.17 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes | buy | 71.17 | $0.930 | $66.19 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.920 | $21.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.979 | $48.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.704 | $4.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No | buy | 64 | $0.946 | $60.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 140 | $0.827 | $115.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 7?No | buy | 60 | $0.910 | $54.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No | buy | 167.29 | $0.956 | $160 | Feb 28, 2026 |