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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 680 | $0.509 | $323 | -$23.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 180 | $0.480 | $86.4 | 8h ago |
|
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.570 |
| $247.5 |
| -$37.5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 1K | $0.150 | $115 | -$35 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.570 |
| $285 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.290 | $4.94 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 438.86 | $0.342 | $150 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 2K | $0.030 | $60 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | May 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 301.8 | $0.725 | $218.81 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.190 | $114 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.070 | $70 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | sell | 750.26 | $0.295 | $221.29 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 301.8 | $0.549 | $165.71 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 185.28 | $0.750 | $138.92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.041 | $41 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 250 | $0.282 | $70.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 30.85 | $0.340 | $10.49 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 150 | $0.340 | $51 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 135.29 | $0.560 | $75.76 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 230 | $0.290 | $66.7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 20.27 | $0.280 | $5.68 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 999.91 | $0.196 | $196.14 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.145 | $199.99 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 999.98 | $0.200 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 621.9 | $0.139 | $86.35 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.043 | $86.35 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 58.31 | $0.320 | $18.66 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 183.68 | $0.102 | $18.66 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.132 | $10.16 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?Yes | sell | 999.83 | $0.010 | $10.16 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 42.69 | $0.026 | $1.11 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 63.99 | $0.024 | $1.55 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.270 | $108 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.420 | $4.12 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.520 | $11.44 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.510 | $63.75 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.065 | $13 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.131 | $13.09 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 15.32 | $0.170 | $2.6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Dec 30, 2025 |